Only the whole job is for sale
Anthropic's new robot exposure index says machines can already do 34% of American working time and pay for themselves on 0.3% of job tasks. The gap is not a capability error. Exposure is counted one task at a time, and a robot is bought against a whole shift.
The 0.3% of job tasks where robots already pay for themselves measures how rarely a whole person's day is made of the one thing a machine can be bought to do, not what robots cannot do.