Tagged “forecasting”

3 posts.

All Model Architecture19 Training & Alignment22 Inference & Serving18 Agents & Orchestration11 Reasoning & Evaluation26 Safety, Security & Governance7 Platforms & Practice20

Model Architecture 25 min

Learned Weather Forecasting: What Neural Networks Replaced, and What They Did Not

A 36.7-million-parameter graph network produces a 10-day global forecast in under a minute and beats the world's best physics-based system on 90 percent of verification targets. It also cannot start without that system's data ass…

ai-for-science weather diffusion graph-neural-networks ∑ ◫

Model Architecture 24 min

The Kalman Filter: Sixty-Six Years of Bayes' Rule, One Observation at a Time

In the fall of 1960 Rudolf Kalman presented a paper at NASA Ames that engineers found hard to grasp; by early 1961 it was navigating simulated spacecraft around the Moon. The same recursion now computes the exact likelihood of ev…

time-series-foundations statistics forecasting state-space-models ∑ ◫

Reasoning & Evaluation 28 min

Zero-Shot Forecasting: What Time-Series Foundation Models Actually Learned

A 35-million-parameter model with no knowledge of your business can forecast your demand as well as the pipeline your team spent two quarters building. That is a real result and it is routinely misread. Pretrained forecasters lea…

time-series forecasting foundation-models zero-shot ∑ ◫